第一讲:课程组织和经济计量学复习
Asymptotic theory, violations to regression model assumptions, maximum
likelihood estimator, generalized method of moments, Cointegration
参阅:Greene: Chapter 12.4, 17, 18, Appendices A-D
第二讲:基于消费的资产定价理论及随机贴现因子
Risk and Expected Return; RandomWalks and Time-varying Expected
Returns; The Empirical Evidence, Puzzles and Anomalies (Equity Premium
Puzzle, Risk-free Rate Puzzle, Hansen-Jagannathan Bounds).
参阅:AP: Preface, Chapter 1, 2, 3 and 4; EDAP: Chapter 1 and 8; Campbell(
2003).
第三讲:贴现因子,Betas和Mean-Variance边际的关系
Discount Factor Models and Beta Representations; Beta Pricing Models and Linear Discount Factor Models; Linear Discount Factors and Mean-Variance Frontier Portfolios
参阅:AP: Chapter 5, 6 and 7; EDAP: Chapter 11
第四讲:证券回报率的基本特性
Market Efficiency; Fama(1991)
参阅:CLM: Chapter 1
第五讲:回报率的短期可预测性
Boudoukh, Richardson, and Whitelaw(1994), Campbell and Shiller(1988),
Lewellen(2004)
参阅:CLM: Chapter 2
第六讲:回报率的长期可预测性
Poterba and Summers(1988), Fama and French(1988), Kirby(1997)
参阅:CLM: Chapter 7
第七讲:案例分析方法
Barber and Lyon(1997), Brown and Warner(1985)
参阅:CLM: Chapter 4
Lecture 8: Testing the unconditional CAPM time-series approach
第八讲:无条件CAPM模型的时间序列测试
Gibbons, Ross, and Shanken(1989), Fama and French(1993)
参阅:CLM: Chapter 5
第九讲:无条件CAPM模型的横断面测试
Fama and McBeth(1974), Fama and French(1992), Kothari, Shanken,
and Sloan(1995)
参阅:CLM: Chapter 5
第十讲:有条件CAPM模型的测试
Ferson and Harvey(1991), Jagnannathan and Wang(1996)
参阅:CLM: Chapter 5, AP: Chapter 8-9
第十一讲:有条件CAPM模型的测试:方法论
Cochrane(1996)
参阅:AP: 10-16
Lecture 12: Testing the conditional CAPM, Empirical Survey
第十二讲:有条件CAPM模型的测试:实证综述
Size and Value factors, Macro factors, Reversal, Momentum
参阅:AP: pp434-452
第十三讲:资产回报率的有条件波动和风险-回报与商业周期的关系
参阅CLM: Chapter 12
Lecture 14: Intertemporal Consumption-based Asset Pricing Models with
Alternative Utility Spricifications
第十四讲:跨时的基于消费的资产定价模型及非常规的效用函数模型
Myopic Optimal Demands; ICAPM without Consumption; Habit-based
Asset Pricing Models
参阅:AP: Chapter 21; EDAP: Chapter 10
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